RAILA Odinga, the scion of the late independent Kenyan leader the lateJaramogi Oginga has struggled to fulfill his father's failed ambition of occupying the highest office in the land, State House.
However for years, despite the deity following from his kinsmen, and the political euphoria and hysteria he has ignited in every electoral year, the doyen of opposition politics has never won any election.
Critically examining Raila reveals a man who is his own enemy and it's not a secret that he's facing an imminent defeat in August.
Here are factors that work against Raila and inevitably make him unsuitable to be the President of a country like Kenya in this 21st Century.
1. 1982 failed coup. Raila Odinga played a key role in the failed 1982 coup against former President Moi's regime. He wanted to take power by force, revealing the extent to which he can go to meet his personal ambitions, including use of force and bloodshed.
2. Family and tribal feuds. Jaramogi made irreconcilable enmity with the Kenyatta family which extended to their respective tribes. The Kikuyu tribe in which the Kenyattas belong to is the most populous tribe in Kenya and no one can be Kenya's President without their backing.
3. Fear of dictatorship. Raila Odinga has shown dictatorial tendencies in his own party. ODM lacks intra-party democracy and this is a tell tale sign that Kenya is at risk of losing the gains made in constitutionalism, rule of law, fundamental rights, freedoms and liberties enjoyed currently by the Kenyan citizenry.
4. Lack of numbers. The hullabaloo about 10m strong peddled by NASA is an illusion that lacks tangible facts, but is meant to prepare his supporters in his planned rejection of results. IEBC figures indicate that Jubilee's strongholds have more numbers than NASA's and the ruling party has made significant inroads in the previous ODM zones and swing bloc counties in the country. The current odds are against Raila Odinga.
5. Failure to learn. Raila and NASA have not learned from previous failures. The team challenging Uhuru and Ruto is the same that was defeated in 2013, a time when the President and his Deputy were ICC suspects. Now that the cases were dropped, and they're at the helm of power and influence nationally, regionally and globally, Raila should prepare for his retirement.
6. Global endorsement of Uhuru. During presidential elections, too many stakes are involved locally and internationally. President Uhuru has received positive endorsement from US, UK, Germany, France, Italy, China, South Korea , all African countries and even the UN that even led to leaders and heads of state of these nations visiting Kenya.
Some of these nations have huge interests in the country and regions and are worried of Raila's presidencyy since he has opposed some of their massive investments in the country and the region including the war in Somali against al shabaab. International community play a significant role in elections. Raila should forget about the presidency.
7. Poor voter turnout in Raila's strongholds. In every election, Raila's strongholds have recorded poor voter turnout compared to those of his competitor. This year's election will not be an exception.
8. Dishonesty and untrustworthy. Raila cannot be trusted with such powers as of the Presidency.
9. Uncleared corruption allegations. The opposition mysterio has been linked to corruption scandals such as irregular acquisition of Kisumu molasses plant, Kazi Kwa Vijana, maize scandal and Triton. He has failed to give substantial rebuttal on these allegations. His close associates, including the other principals have corruption tags hanging on their tainted political walls.
10. Raila Odinga is unfit to be the Commander-In-Chief of the Kenya Defense Forces.
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